What day will Anthropic go public?
Most likely dayOther days
Chance ANT is trading by
- Weighted average day
- No IPO by Nov 30
- How it resolves
- First day of trading on an exchange, Eastern Time
Anthropic is going public. Here's what Polymarket expects for the date, the price, and the first day of trading.
Live odds from Polymarket
Updated
Most likely IPO day
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Weighted across every day in Polymarket's IPO date market.
00days
00hours
00min
00sec
to the opening bell that day
What will the IPO valuation be?
Projected fully diluted value at the final IPO price in the prospectus.
Projection lands here
- Most likely range
- No IPO by end of 2027
Closing market cap on day one
Projected market cap at the close of ANT's first trading day.
Projection lands here
- Most likely range
- Closes above $2T
How much will they raise?
Projected gross proceeds at pricing, not counting the greenshoe.
Projection lands here
- Most likely range
- Record to beat
- SpaceX, $75B (June 2026)
More from the markets
chance ANT closes above its IPO price on day one
UpDown or flat
Implied day-one pop
Will it close up or down?
For reference, SpaceX rose 19% in its June debut. The implied pop compares the closing cap and valuation projections, which count shares differently, so it's a rough read.
View odds →chance Anthropic has the #1 model on Nov 30
#1 AI model at the end of November
Resolves on the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard (style control off) at noon ET on Nov 30, a week or so after the expected listing.
View odds →ANT
Nasdaq Global Select Market
- Security
- Class A common stock
- Underwriters
- 22, led by Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley
- Revenue, 1H 2026
- $16.3B (1H 2025: $1.2B)
- Net loss, 1H 2026
- $80.7B
- Price range
- Not set yet
- Governance
- Long-Term Benefit Trust elects a board majority
Key facts
Anthropic, PBC filed its S-1 publicly on Oct 26, 2026. Share count and price range come in a later amendment.
projected Anthropic raise vs. the biggest IPOs ever
Biggest IPOs ever
Amounts exclude the greenshoe, the same rule the raise market uses. SpaceX's $75B (June 2026) is the record. Anthropic's bar is the thin raise market's projection.
View odds →